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Finding Our Way In the Evolving Situation in Venezuela

25/1/2019

 
The economic and political crisis in Venezuela has been escalated by the US-led moves to install a regime favourable to the US via ‘regime change’ directed by that superpower.
Vice President Pence the day before large numbers of demonstrators miraculously took to the streets of Caracas and Juan Guaido declared himself Interim President issued a message calling on the Venezuelan people to speak out and the US will back them in their fight for ‘freedom’.
Do we really think that Pence’s message and the developments the next day are disconnected or co-incidental? If we believe so, then we have learnt nothing about how this superpower operates.
Is it also co-incidental that the OAS Secretary-General, US President and countries of the ‘Lima Group’ within the OAS all declared their ‘recognition’ of Guaido before his hand dropped after swearing himself into ‘office’?
US MANIPULATION OF THE SITUATION
This entire incident was orchestrated by Washington. Trump has since appointed Elliott Abrams a man convicted in the Iran-Contra scandal under Reagan who secretly funded murderous paramilitary groups as part of the US efforts to overthrow the Nicaraguan government, to “lead efforts to press for democracy in Venezuela”.
(https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/venezuela-latest-elliott-abrams-trump-pompeo-maduro-juan-guaido-a8747306.html).
US Secretary of State Pompeo described this convicted Abrams as “a true asset in our mission to help the Venezuelan people fully restore democracy and prosperity to their country.”.
The US has called for a UN Security Council meeting on Saturday 26 January to push for other country’s to ‘recognize Mr Guaido as (Venezuela’s) interim head of state’.
At the same time, CARICOM is seeking to meet the UN Secretary-General on Monday January 28, after the Security Council Meeting.
Today, the US Ambassador in TT issued a statement saying, “I find the official statements from the Government of Trinidad and Tobago recognising the undemocratic and illegitimate government of Nicholas Maduro to be deeply concerning.”.  Concerning to the US and making thinly-veiled threats by adding “Democracy and prosperity require tough choices.”.
TT and CARICOM POSITION
At the end of an emergency video conference meeting on Thursday night (January 24) CARICOM issued a statement saying, “Heads of Government reiterated that the long-standing political crisis, which has been exacerbated by recent events, can only be resolved peacefully through meaningful dialogue and diplomacy.”.
The Heads also decided to “seek an urgent meeting with the United Nations Secretary-General to request the U. N’s assistance in resolving the issue.”.
This meeting will come after the US resolution is debated by the Security Council.
That meeting with the UN Secretary-General will only be useful in the circumstances if CARICOM calls for a full General Assembly meeting on the situation in Venezuela.
The co-ordinated CARICOM position may have come a little too late. From the time the US organised the so-called Lima Group inside the OAS, CARICOM should have developed a joint position on the motion put to the OAS by that group and voted on January 10.
SITUATION REQUIRES PRINCIPLED STAND BY TT
This entire economic and political crisis in Venezuela requires that, as a small island state right on the doorstep of Venezuela, T&T must take and maintain a principled stand to protect the sovereignty and security of this country.
I suggest the following:
  • What we MUST NOT do is TAKE SIDES IN THE INTERNAL MATTERS OF VENEZUELA. NO other country or power must impose their ‘solution’ on Venezuela.
  • We must call for peaceful resolution and say NO to foreign-imposed ‘regime change’ and do what we can for a common CARICOM position.
  • As best we can, we must assist those who come to us for help while being vigilant against those who may come for improper purposes. 
  • We must refuse to be part of any military intervention against Venezuela.
  • We must NEVER allow desperation to let the Dragon Field deal or any pressure from big powers determine what we do in this situation.
  • We, the People of TT must not allow our disagreement with the PNM to drive us to take any stand that will compromise the Independence and sovereignty of our nation and peace in our region.
There are particular pressures that TT faces because of our location, the presence of refugees from Venezuela, threats from the US, concerns for our security and safety if military action is launched against Venezuela, particularly if world powers are involved.
We must focus on seeking peaceful resolution of the situation.
Should military adventure be undertaken we cannot stop it. But we must not join in it.
This is a very complex situation for our country, and we can only preserve our nation’s integrity and independence if we deal with every development with principled responses and not sacrifice our nation’s future for temporary benefits.
Clyde Weatherhead
A Citizen Fighting for
Independence, Security and Future
of our nation.  
25 January 2019

Rex Chookolingo
26/1/2019 01:53:13 am

Should we just stand by and do nothing when millions of Venezuelans suffer at the hands of Maduro? Why shouldn't we take sides? Most other countries have. Haven't we done that when we support Maduro.

Specular Effect
27/1/2019 05:52:56 pm

The people of Trinidad are extremely impulsive and are unable to defer gratification—crucial component of IQ and general intelligence—proper decision making and planning ahead. They cannot self-govern. They were hasty and miscalculated the goings-on within their immediate region and haveh made a bad deal under poor circumstances without considering who they affect and the consequences of their decisions and actions. This is typical Trinidadian behavior which I refer to as Trinidadianism.


https://youtu.be/X6mNrwlMT44

Specular Effect
27/1/2019 05:38:21 pm

Trinidad isn't significant enough to consider herself to be at war with anyone or anything other than itself.

Michael Robinson
28/1/2019 07:59:35 am

Clyde, I must say I enjoy reading your posts. While I sometimes I may disagree with your point of view, I respect your opinions for the impartiality and well thought out commentary. I also enjoy reading from people who challenge my critical thinking. Which you do.

But, as my late father-in-law, JR Sookhoo, once said "People Listen but they don't Hear." We have both made various statements quite clearly, but reading some of the replies, I believe JR was spot on. It's like they are watching FOX Cable while reading your chats.

Keep blogging.

BACKGROUND
As I said previously the root cause of Venezuela's problems is Racial Inequity. In the Spanish system of racial hierarchy, the sistema de castas, mestizos/pardos, who formed the majority, had fewer rights than the minority elite European-born persons called peninsulares, and the minority white colonial-born whites criollo. The people of Indigenous and African heritage generally side with the mestizos/pardos class.

Maduro represents the mestizos/pardos class. While Guaido maybe seen by Western Nations to represent the peninsulares and criollo classes. His roots are firmly in the mestizos/pardos class.

In April 2017, a survey by Hinterlaces said that only 35% of Venezuelans identify as supporters of Chavista bloc led by Maduro's PSUV, while 36% of Venezuelans interviewed ""did not sympathize with any national party"".

Latin Americans are fiercely nationalistic and independent. They generally despise outsiders getting involved in their politics. More than any others; they generally have a distaste for "Yankees"; due to the USA's history of leaving failed States where they interjected themselves. They are also very free market oriented people. Read "Capitalist".

The policies of Maduro, and previously Chavez; was generally a re-distribution of wealth more than pure Socialism. Their attempts at such rapid pace has led to a failed economy. Compounding this is the devastating effect of sanctions to stop the last of foreign money in the country.

By declaring himself President, Guaido used his own methodology to justify the legality of his declaration. It certainly was not consistent with the Venezuelan Constitution.

POINT #1
T&T PNM government followed a police of "Non Intervention and Non Interference". The T&T government also stated, quite clearly, they reviewed the Venezuelan Constitution. As a result the TUT government remained with the status quo, which accepts Maduro as the legal President. Now if 35% support Maduro and 36% don't identify with any National Party; the math is clear that Guaido's "Coalition" only has the support of 29% of the people. Considering his party is a small faction within the coalition; one can assume his support is even less; way less.

It does not take an idiot to see who has more legitimacy; Maduro. T& T's decision to stay the status quo, was never implicit on never ever supporting another person who may become the legitimate President. Considering Guaido boycotted the election; one will never know how strong his actual support is.

I believe T&T's decision. Is the best of a worst case scenario.

POINT #2
Who has the courage to guarantee Guaido has the support to acede to the President? Not enough support. Lack of experience. A devasted economy with no funds in site to rebuild and a great number of the people with the skills to do so having already left the country. If he does become President; with all 77ththe challenges; how long will it be before they want him out as well. Is the US really interested in regime change for the good of the country or is it for the benefit of US businesses? Like I mean really, considering their past history of failed states.

POINT #3
Since when has the USA become the beacon of free democracy. Let's have a look:
1: Maduro stacked the Venezeulan Supreme Court with justices who favour him. Hmm! Know of any other President who is stacking his nation's Supreme Court with justices who favour him. Google it!

2: Maduro created a new Constituent Assembly to bypass the National Assemble. Anyone know of another President who wants to bypass his democratically elected House to get what he wants; A Wall. He is not creating a new board. Cost to much and takes too much time. He just going to declare a fictitious National Emergency.

3: Maduro has shown a complete disrespect for the Law and the Constitution. Can anyone name another current President who behaves the same way?

4: Maduro hates his opposition and continues to threaten them. Don't know who else does that, get a Twitter account. If not look up the saying "Lock Them Up".

5: Maduro did not win with free & fair elections. OMG please, neither did Trump. A stacked Electoral College. Less of the National vote than his opponent. Help from Russia. State Republican governments devising ways to prevent some voters, (Democrat Party voters) from exercising their right to vote. Collusion, bribery, lies, criminality. Want more.

Bottom line:

Freedom
28/1/2019 12:22:14 pm

Anyone who thinks Maduro should be left in power is a mad man. They should go live in Venezuela and live there and don't come back here. That dictator is the root cause of millions suffering. This government of TnT is the biggest failure on a national and international level.


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    I am a appalled at the loss of the simple skills of discussing ideas and sharing Opinions to DEEPEN ANALYSIS and UNDERSTAND DEVELOPMENTS to ARRIVE AT SOLUTIONS.
    Read my Blog - Where De We Go, TT?

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